Petani sawit memanen tandan buah segar dari pohon tua di perkebunan Indonesia.

Palm Oil Output Threatened by Aging Trees

Indonesia’s palm oil industry is facing a serious challenge because Palm Oil Output Declines Due to Aging Trees. projected to drop by up to 20% by 2030 due to the high number of aging palm trees and the low rate of replanting among smallholders. This could threaten Indonesia’s position as the world’s largest palm oil producer.

Aging Trees Reduce Productivity

Palm trees have a productive lifespan of about 25 years. Beyond that, the yield of fresh fruit bunches (FFB) drops significantly. Many smallholder plantations were established between the 1990s and early 2000s, meaning a large portion of the trees are now past their prime. These older trees require more maintenance but produce less.

Low Replanting Rates

Although the government has a smallholder replanting program, progress remains slow. Only about 10% of the replanting target has been achieved. Farmers are reluctant to replant because it takes 3–4 years for new trees to become productive, which means losing income during that period.

Impact on the Palm Oil Industry

  • Reduced export volumes

  • Potential rise in domestic crude palm oil (CPO) prices

  • Loss of jobs in the plantation sector

  • Declining regional revenue in palm-producing areas

Solutions to Prevent Output Decline

there is a solution to avoid Palm Oil Output Declines.

  1. Accelerating Replanting – Government and companies should provide capital and technical assistance.

  2. Utilizing Modern Agricultural Machinery – Products like knapsack sprayers and mini tractors from Istana Machineries can speed up replanting and plantation maintenance.

  3. Encouraging Young Farmers – Attracting younger generations to engage in the palm oil sector.

  4. Strengthening Seed and Fertilizer Supply – Ensuring farmers have access to quality seedlings and fertilizers.

Conclusion

The issue of aging palm trees and slow replanting poses a real threat to Indonesia’s palm oil industry. With the right mix of technology, funding, and a new generation of farmers, palm oil production can be revitalized to maintain Indonesia’s competitiveness in the global market.


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